If this comes down to Tom Brady vs. Jason Campbell, it’s not even going to be close.
This game opened at the Patriots -4? Are you serious? This is only because New England
tanked last week. This line would be at least -7, if not for Week 3.
The Patriots defence has been torched by mediocore quarterbacks like Henne, and
most recently by the Bills Ryan Fitzpatrick (who has shown that he maybe better than
mediocore). So there is some doubt that you should question whether Campbell and the
Raiders have the same ability to keep it close, especially with Darren McFadden.
Darren McFadden will be the key to this game. If, and only if, he can control the ball
and run over the New England defence, score points and keep the game close, from the
opening kick-off, is the only hope Oakland has of staying in this game. New England’s
run defence is 10th best in the league after 3 weeks this season and hasn’t been their
Achilles heel. Tom Brady is not going to throw 4 interceptions this game, as he did
versus the Bills, and he will continue to throw multiple TD’s and put up big numbers. If
the Patriots get up by 14, or 21 like they did versus the Bills, and Oakland has to move
away from their running game, it is very unlikely that Oakland will be able to stay in the
game. And once this game gets out of reach, New England will continue to pour on the
points and this could very easily end up being 20 point win for the visitors.
Update: Albert Haynesworth isn’t traveling to Oakland. Haynesworth has helped
improve New England’s rush defence. This could have a big impact on Oakland’s ability
to run the ball and will free up more space for Darren McFadden.
Here’s what this game comes down to. Oakland IS NOT as good as you think. No
disrespect the Raiders fans out there. They have run over their past 3 opponents, but they
also haven’t played anyone remotely as offensive as the Patriots. They have beaten the
Broncos, who may win 3 games this season; they kept it close against the Bills, who have
played well but who are still a basement dweller in the AFC for at least another year and,
finally, they did beat a respectable Jets team.
Other factors I like:
Tom Brady has thrown for over 1300 yards in 3 games.
NE hasn’t lost 2 games in a row since 2006.
PinnacleSports line has been NE -4 since it opened at Oakland
Bodog currently has NE -4.5 line at Oakland
I like easy cash and I see New England winning by more than a FG and that’s why I’m
laying 4 units on the Visitor.
No related posts.